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FACTOR COMMENTARY

Tue, Jul 21

Current
  1. PUBLIC READER

    LQ5 VWAP mean reversion: the recent ranking relationship has weakened

    Short Term

    What it measures

    Within its liquid-stock universe, this factor ranks stocks by how far their current price has moved from volume-weighted average price, looking for stretched intraday moves that may reverse.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is +0.77 over 10 days, +5.51 over 20 days, and +7.17 over 60 days. The 10-day relationship is weaker than the longer record and has a positive orientation. Higher-ranked stocks have recently tended to lead lower-ranked stocks. The latest daily ranking result lies in the upper tail at the +100.0 percentile with robust z +3.09.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D+0.77
    ICIR · 20D+5.51
    ICIR · 60D+7.17
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →+0.3652
    IC historical percentile100.0%
    IC robust z+3.09
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →70.2%
    Spread Sharpe+3.92
    Evaluation dates635
    Peer percentile · 10D40.0%
    Measured peers20
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+1.00

    Why it matters

    A strategy calibrated to the longer history may overstate what this ranking has delivered recently. That argues for caution until the shorter record stabilizes.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the recent ranking relationship recovers toward its longer history.

    Factor

    #LQ5 VWAP mean reversion
    short-termshort_window_decayweakeningdaily_tailSame day to closehistorical-evaluation
  2. PUBLIC READER

    Low days to cover: the ranking relationship is consistent across time windows

    Long Term

    What it measures

    This factor ranks stocks using the registered Low days to cover definition so their relative behavior can be compared with subsequent returns.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is -4.19 over 10 days, -7.86 over 20 days, and -3.32 over 60 days. All three point in the same inverse direction. The recent relationship has run in reverse, with lower-ranked stocks tending to lead, and the agreement across windows makes that relationship less dependent on one chosen lookback.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D-4.19
    ICIR · 20D-7.86
    ICIR · 60D-3.32
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.0300
    IC historical percentile37.6%
    IC robust z-0.27
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →45.3%
    Spread Sharpe-2.78
    Evaluation dates86
    Peer percentile · 10D33.3%
    Measured peers3
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+0.56

    Why it matters

    The relationship is not confined to one convenient lookback, which makes it more credible. Closely related factor variants still count as one source of evidence, not independent confirmation.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the ranking relationship keeps the same direction across all three windows.

    Factor

    #Low days to cover
    long-termpersistent_efficacypersistentwindow_relationshipIntradayhistorical-evaluation
  3. PUBLIC READER

    NC proxy for LQ5 Prior day residual open close: the latest ranking result is a historical outlier

    Historical Tail

    What it measures

    This factor tests whether stocks that rank strongly on its inputs continue to lead peers.

    Interpretation

    On the latest evaluated day, the relationship between this factor's ranking and subsequent relative returns measured -0.5862, at +0.0 percentile with robust z -4.13. One daily observation was unusually far from its own history. One day can reflect a changing market regime or noise.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry → · 10D-2.93
    ICIR · 20D-0.99
    ICIR · 60D-1.94
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.5862
    IC historical percentile0.0%
    IC robust z-4.13
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →33.8%
    Spread Sharpe-1.77
    Evaluation dates634
    Peer percentile · 10D45.0%
    Measured peers40
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+1.00

    Why it matters

    An unusual day can be an early regime clue, but it is weak evidence by itself. The next observations need to show whether the relationship is changing or simply snapped back.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the next daily ranking results repeat the outlier or return toward normal.

    Factor

    #NC proxy for LQ5 Prior day residual open close
    historical-taildaily_ic_outlieroutlierdaily_tailSame day to closehistorical-evaluation
  4. PUBLIC READER

    LQ25 Five minute momentum: recent and longer history disagree

    Horizon Shift

    What it measures

    Within its liquid-stock universe, this factor ranks stocks by their most recent five-minute price move, testing whether the latest leaders and laggards continue in the same direction.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is +4.07 over 10 days, -3.73 over 20 days, and -4.61 over 60 days. The recent and longer readings point in opposite directions. In practical terms, whether high-ranked or low-ranked stocks led depended on the lookback window. Its recent ranking consistency is at the +100.0 percentile of 40 comparable factors, near the top.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D+4.07
    ICIR · 20D-3.73
    ICIR · 60D-4.61
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.1530
    IC historical percentile19.4%
    IC robust z-0.98
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →35.1%
    Spread Sharpe-4.71
    Evaluation dates94
    Peer percentile · 10D100.0%
    Measured peers40
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+0.99

    Why it matters

    A short-horizon strategy and a longer-horizon strategy could currently read this factor in opposite ways. The disagreement matters more than either number in isolation.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the recent and longer ranking relationships begin to point in the same direction.

    Factor

    #LQ25 Five minute momentum

    Current ranking

    SideSymbolFactor scorePercentile
    High 1AEHR+1.730100.0%
    High 2PRGO+1.72899.9%
    High 3TNDM+1.72599.8%
    High 4ORKA+1.72299.7%
    High 5VCYT+1.72099.7%
    Low 1SHLS-1.7300.0%
    Low 2AVEX-1.7280.1%
    Low 3MWH-1.7250.2%
    Low 4SNDK-1.7220.3%
    Low 5NXT-1.7200.3%
    horizon-shiftwindow_divergencedivergingpeer_positionSame day to closehistorical-evaluation
  5. PUBLIC READER

    LQ5 VWAP mean reversion: the recent ranking relationship has weakened

    Short Term

    What it measures

    Within its liquid-stock universe, this factor ranks stocks by how far their current price has moved from volume-weighted average price, looking for stretched intraday moves that may reverse.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is +0.77 over 10 days, +5.51 over 20 days, and +7.17 over 60 days. The 10-day relationship is weaker than the longer record and has a positive orientation. Higher-ranked stocks have recently tended to lead lower-ranked stocks. The latest daily ranking result lies in the upper tail at the +100.0 percentile with robust z +3.09.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D+0.77
    ICIR · 20D+5.51
    ICIR · 60D+7.17
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →+0.3652
    IC historical percentile100.0%
    IC robust z+3.09
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →70.2%
    Spread Sharpe+3.92
    Evaluation dates635
    Peer percentile · 10D40.0%
    Measured peers20
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+1.00

    Why it matters

    A strategy calibrated to the longer history may overstate what this ranking has delivered recently. That argues for caution until the shorter record stabilizes.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the recent ranking relationship recovers toward its longer history.

    Factor

    #LQ5 VWAP mean reversion
    short-termshort_window_decayweakeningdaily_tailSame day to closehistorical-evaluation
  6. PUBLIC READER

    Low days to cover: the ranking relationship is consistent across time windows

    Long Term

    What it measures

    This factor ranks stocks using the registered Low days to cover definition so their relative behavior can be compared with subsequent returns.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is -4.19 over 10 days, -7.86 over 20 days, and -3.32 over 60 days. All three point in the same inverse direction. The recent relationship has run in reverse, with lower-ranked stocks tending to lead, and the agreement across windows makes that relationship less dependent on one chosen lookback.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D-4.19
    ICIR · 20D-7.86
    ICIR · 60D-3.32
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.0300
    IC historical percentile37.6%
    IC robust z-0.27
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →45.3%
    Spread Sharpe-2.78
    Evaluation dates86
    Peer percentile · 10D33.3%
    Measured peers3
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+0.56

    Why it matters

    The relationship is not confined to one convenient lookback, which makes it more credible. Closely related factor variants still count as one source of evidence, not independent confirmation.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the ranking relationship keeps the same direction across all three windows.

    Factor

    #Low days to cover
    long-termpersistent_efficacypersistentwindow_relationshipIntradayhistorical-evaluation
  7. PUBLIC READER

    NC proxy for LQ5 Prior day residual open close: the latest ranking result is a historical outlier

    Historical Tail

    What it measures

    This factor tests whether stocks that rank strongly on its inputs continue to lead peers.

    Interpretation

    On the latest evaluated day, the relationship between this factor's ranking and subsequent relative returns measured -0.5862, at +0.0 percentile with robust z -4.13. One daily observation was unusually far from its own history. One day can reflect a changing market regime or noise.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry → · 10D-2.93
    ICIR · 20D-0.99
    ICIR · 60D-1.94
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.5862
    IC historical percentile0.0%
    IC robust z-4.13
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →33.8%
    Spread Sharpe-1.77
    Evaluation dates634
    Peer percentile · 10D45.0%
    Measured peers40
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+1.00

    Why it matters

    An unusual day can be an early regime clue, but it is weak evidence by itself. The next observations need to show whether the relationship is changing or simply snapped back.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the next daily ranking results repeat the outlier or return toward normal.

    Factor

    #NC proxy for LQ5 Prior day residual open close
    historical-taildaily_ic_outlieroutlierdaily_tailSame day to closehistorical-evaluation
  8. PUBLIC READER

    LQ25 Five minute momentum: recent and longer history disagree

    Horizon Shift

    What it measures

    Within its liquid-stock universe, this factor ranks stocks by their most recent five-minute price move, testing whether the latest leaders and laggards continue in the same direction.

    Interpretation

    The factor's ranking consistency, measured by ICIRRolling ICIRThe mean information coefficient divided by its standard deviation over a trailing window, usually annualized. It measures the persistence of ranking skill across observations in the window.Open glossary entry →, is +4.07 over 10 days, -3.73 over 20 days, and -4.61 over 60 days. The recent and longer readings point in opposite directions. In practical terms, whether high-ranked or low-ranked stocks led depended on the lookback window. Its recent ranking consistency is at the +100.0 percentile of 40 comparable factors, near the top.

    Evidence

    MeasureReading
    ICIR · 10D+4.07
    ICIR · 20D-3.73
    ICIR · 60D-4.61
    Latest daily ICInformation coefficient (IC)The cross-sectional correlation between a signal score and a subsequent return. Rank IC uses ranked values and measures whether the signal orders securities correctly.Open glossary entry →-0.1530
    IC historical percentile19.4%
    IC robust z-0.98
    IC hit rateIC hit rateThe share of completed evaluation dates on which a factor’s date-level information coefficient has the registered positive sign.Open glossary entry →35.1%
    Spread Sharpe-4.71
    Evaluation dates94
    Peer percentile · 10D100.0%
    Measured peers40
    Nearest-peer IC correlation+0.99

    Why it matters

    A short-horizon strategy and a longer-horizon strategy could currently read this factor in opposite ways. The disagreement matters more than either number in isolation.

    Watch next

    Watch whether the recent and longer ranking relationships begin to point in the same direction.

    Factor

    #LQ25 Five minute momentum

    Current ranking

    SideSymbolFactor scorePercentile
    High 1AEHR+1.730100.0%
    High 2PRGO+1.72899.9%
    High 3TNDM+1.72599.8%
    High 4ORKA+1.72299.7%
    High 5VCYT+1.72099.7%
    Low 1SHLS-1.7300.0%
    Low 2AVEX-1.7280.1%
    Low 3MWH-1.7250.2%
    Low 4SNDK-1.7220.3%
    Low 5NXT-1.7200.3%
    horizon-shiftwindow_divergencedivergingpeer_positionSame day to closehistorical-evaluation

Factor commentary is provided for research and educational purposes. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to trade any security.